Oil prices have rebounded and global stock markets recovered after
Beijing mustered what analysts called its “national team” to intervene
and boost the yuan.
The price of Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose more than 2% and
later traded 1.8% higher at $34.36 a barrel. On Thursday, it had hit
$32.16, the lowest since April 2004.
Chinese stocks recovered by 2% on Friday after the People’s Bank of
China strengthened its official rate for the first time in nine trading
days. The depreciation of the yuan has spooked investors and fuelled
capital flight out of China.
Beijing also performed a dramatic U-turn on Thursday by deactivating a stock market circuit-breaker, itself was blamed for aggravating this week’s market falls. At the start of the day, trading was halted after less than 30 minutes
when stocks plunged by more than 7% – the second time the
circuit-breaker was triggered since its introduction this week. The move
sent global stocks tumbling.
Jasper Lawler, market analyst at CMC Markets, said: “China’s removal
of counter-productive circuit breakers, state buying and a rise in the
yuan helped prevent another stock market rout and alleviated concerns
that the central bank would continue the rapid devaluation of the
currency.”
The recovery in China boosted stocks in Europe and Asia Pacific. The
FTSE 100 index in London rose nearly 40 points to 5591.89, a 0.6% gain.
Germany’s Dax is 0.9% ahead, France’s CAC has added 0.6% while Spain’s
Ibex is up 0.7%.
Angus Nicholson, market analyst at IG, said: “The big thing [is] that
we have seen the Chinese government rallying the ‘national team forces’
in both the currency market and the equities market,” he said, as
traders reported China’s state-owned banks intervening to prop up the
yuan.
After a day of wild trading, the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI
300, which comprises the biggest stocks from the Shanghai and Shenzhen
stock exchanges, both finished about 2% higher, at 3186.78 and 3361.56
respectively. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.6% to 20,453.71.
However, other markets continued to suffer. Japan’s Nikkei and the
Australian market both closed 0.4% lower, with Australian shares ending a
sixth straight day in the red.
Marc Ostwald, market strategist at ADM ISI, said: “China’s
authorities have clearly bitten far more than they can chew in their
markets and economy reform efforts, with a clear sense that they are at
best fumbling in the dark emerging.”
The latest bout of stock market turmoil presents a major challenge to
the Chinese president, Xi Jinping, who has portayed himself as the
country’s top economic steward, ahead of the prime minister, Li Keqiang.
Xi was reportedly livid over a humiliating stock market debacle
in mid-2015, lambasting senior economic officials after he appeared on
the front cover of the Economist fighting to prop up Chinese shares.
Experts say the credibility of Beijing’s economic policymakers has been further damaged by the latest turmoil.
The Japanese finance minister, Taro Aso, questioned whether Beijing
could afford to keep supporting the yuan in light of its record decline
in foreign reserves last month.
There were unconfirmed reports on Friday morning that Xiao Gang, the
head of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), would resign.
Christopher Balding, a professor of finance and economics at Peking
University’s HSBC business school, said Beijing’s economic flip-flopping
and “wild swings in policymaking” had severely damaged confidence.
“Chinese investors want very similar things that international
investors want: they want clarity, they want to understand what is going
on, they want to know what the policies are, they want stability and
[to know] what the rules are,” he said.
“The constant back-and-forth and changes just don’t engender confidence that Beijing has really any idea what they are doing.”
By: Julia Kollewe (London) and Tom Phillips (Bejing).
Review: Emerging Market Formulations & Research Unit, Flagship Records.
For The #FacebookTeam